Today we feature a Guest Post from my blogging buddy Benjamin Davis. A very exciting and important topic: Geographic arbitrage! Benjamin holds a Ph.D. and decided to become a landlord to retire early. He writes on From cents to Retirement, a blog about early retirement and real estate investing. He also wrote the book My strategy to retire early and runs a real estate and investment consulting business in Portugal. His goal is to build a real estate portfolio with 100 units before he turns 35 and turn From Cents To Retirement into a reference blog for early retirement through Real Estate investments, while he inspires others with his own story. Take it away, Ben!
I was born in Portugal and divided my childhood between Portugal and Italy. I lived in Canada and Germany after that. My family is Canadian and Italian so you can imagine how much I have been exposed to different cultures.
When I decided I was going to retire early, I needed to select the country I was going to live in. I decided to move to a country that would allow me to take advantage of geographic arbitrage, which is defined as the practice of taking advantage of different prices and tax rates in different markets.
Our first guest post on the ERN blog! Ever! Let me introduce Drew Cloud who runs the fascinating blog studentloans.net. Not too long ago, I remember U.S. student loans surpassing one trillion dollars (a one with 12 zeros!) for the first time. Now we’re at $1.4t and the amount just keeps growing. Make sure you check out Drew’s blog, too, especially the treasure trove of data on the topic. Take over, Drew!
A quick online search of student loan debt in America reveals the astonishing truth about the widespread, increasing expense of attending a college or university. Currently, more than 44 million borrowers have amassed over $1.4 trillion of student loan debt, and each year, the total continues to climb. While taking out student loans is now firmly embedded in the college experience for the majority of students, the picture remains bleak for borrowers. Here are five unfortunate facts about student loan debt in America to prove that point.
The rule to withdraw 4% of assets during retirement is considered “safe” because the Trinity Study has declared it so. The term “Trinity Study” has become something of a dogma, almost scripture, for the early retirement community. The 25 times annual consumption rule and the equivalent 4% withdrawal rate rule of thumb are referenced pretty much everywhere in the community. One almost gets the impression that what the Holy Trinity is to Christianity (you know; The Father, The Son and the Holy Spirit), the Trinity Study is to the Early Retirement community.
The sustainability of the 4% withdrawal rule depends on returns we can expect going forward. Backward looking simulations may be quite entertaining but they still require the usual disclaimer “Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.” How comfortable can we be assuming today’s retirees will enjoy the same average returns as in the last 145 years, the time span used by the cFIREsim site? Or the Trinity study, which uses data since 1926? Continue reading “The 4% Rule is not as good as we hoped – Part 1: Equity expected returns”→