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2022 Q3 Trades

31 Posts
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Posts: 349
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Topic starter
(@earlyretirementnowcom)
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Joined: 10 years ago
[#845]

Opening a new topic for Q3.

The Friday 7/8/2022 expiation has some pretty juicy yields. I've been selling 160 points OTM this morning for a 1-day premium of 0.50-0.60. Stepping a little bit cautiously because the market seems a little too hot and there is some uncertainty about the employment release tomorrow.


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Posts: 14
(@ohadost)
Active Member
Joined: 4 years ago

I'm right there with you. Sold the 3715p for tomorrow @0.5.

Can't get too greedy in this market.

Sold some OTM covered calls since I ain't buying this squeeze. 


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(@earlyretirementnowcom)
Joined: 10 years ago

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Posts: 349

@ohadost Nice! That will likely be super-safe. 

I eventually walked up my strikes to 3745. Crossing my fingers!


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Posts: 349
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(@earlyretirementnowcom)
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You might have noticed the really juicy premiums for Wednesday, July 13. Caution: it's the CPI inflation release date. We might see a repeat of the June 10 volatility. A slight rise in the YoY CPI number is already in the forecasts. I hope people will not lose their marbles again when the number comes in at 8.8% or higher.

I would tread lightly this week. My personal strategy: sell a few OTM intra-day puts. With the extra income, I lower my premium target from $0.70 to maybe only $0.50 for a 1DTE option. And then sell those 1DTE puts right before the close, once the intra-day puts expire safely OTM.


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 john
(@john)
Joined: 6 years ago

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Posts: 16

@earlyretirementnowcom, whats your delta/premium target for intraday options?
I am selling 2 cts 1DTE, at open and close. Next day if y-day both options are safe, I also sell one intraday@open.
Funny story (not really) last time a day before CPI missed open and sold 1DTE just before intraday reversal. Got burned quite bad on CPI announcement next day.


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(@earlyretirementnowcom)
Joined: 10 years ago

Member
Posts: 349

@john If my usual premium is $0.70 for the 1DTE trade, I target anything between 0.30 to 0.40 for an intra-day short put. I would put the trade on about 30-90 minutes after the open.


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Posts: 14
(@ohadost)
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Joined: 4 years ago

Sold the 3650p 7/13 @0.55

Please god let this one expire OTM. 


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(@earlyretirementnowcom)
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Posts: 349

@ohadost Stayed pretty resilient. Let's hope it stays that way...


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Posts: 14
(@ohadost)
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Joined: 4 years ago

I think I sold at the worst possible time today. Exactly 30 minutes before AAPL decided to tank the market.

Got the 3775p for tomorrow's expiration. I don't have a good feeling about it.


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(@earlyretirementnowcom)
Joined: 10 years ago

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Posts: 349

@ohadost I had a similar close call. Sold the next-day contracts too early. But everything worked out well...


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