Forum

Update (12/31/2022):

It seems that new users have trouble registering for the forum. The confirmation email never shows up. I’ve decided to phase out this forum and transition over to a new forum plugin. The new location is here:

https://earlyretirementnow.com/forum-3/

Policies – please read!

  • Everyone can read posts, but to start a new topic or add a reply you’d need to register. To create an ID, please verify your email address. You will get a link at that email address and you can then pick a password.
  • Be courteous to others. Treat others like you like to be treated. Discuss the issues. No ad-hominem attacks!
  • It’s OK to include external links if they are relevant. But please avoid spamming! Please no affiliate links.
  • Before starting a new topic, please check if that question/topic has been discussed before already and add to that discussion instead of starting a new topic.
  • If you’ve written a cool blog post that you want to share with others please post this in the “Self-Promo” category only!
  • Please read the usual Disclaimers and the Privacy Policy!
  • The forum policies may be amended in the future!
Notifications
Clear all

9/16 Trades

8 Posts
2 Users
3 Reactions
4,960 Views
Posts: 349
Admin
Topic starter
(@earlyretirementnowcom)
Member
Joined: 10 years ago
[#6]

Two special circumstances today:

1) the Fed meeting. I don't think there are any huge surprises coming out of it. Maybe the dot-chart might stir up things, though.

2) We got the 9/17 expiration (stops trading on Thursday but settles at the Friday open).

Re 1: I usually like the Fed meeting days. There's a lot extra implied vol. 

Re 2: I sold the 9/17 puts so far targeting around 0.65 to 0.75 (because it's really only a 1.5-day trade). Then depending on how things move today and tomorrow, probably roll into 9/18 puts already on Thursday. Or maybe roll straight into the 9/21 puts on Friday early morning.

 


7 Replies
Posts: 194
(@navypack)
Reputable Member
Joined: 6 years ago

Re2: Does an overnight drop hurt you when the option closes in the morning?  If it gaps down on a Friday open below the strike, do you lose, or are you locked in at Thursday close?

Like your strategy and I just sold Friday AM settle.  Trying to keep by overall delta between 2 and 4.

 


Reply
2 Replies
(@earlyretirementnowcom)
Joined: 10 years ago

Member
Posts: 349

@navypack The settlement is at the Friday open. So you do lose if the market drops enough overnight. But again: you get paid for taking on the extra risk.


Reply
(@navypack)
Joined: 6 years ago

Reputable Member
Posts: 194

@earlyretirementnowcom that is what I thought, but taking chance to validate.


Reply
Posts: 194
(@navypack)
Reputable Member
Joined: 6 years ago

Sold 9/18 PM around 250 pts OOM (2 delta) for 0.85, which feels safe for 1.5 DTE. 

Always like selling when market is down for day and bouncing on lower band on 10 and 20 day charts.


Reply
Posts: 194
(@navypack)
Reputable Member
Joined: 6 years ago

Sold 9/21 PM put around 150 points OOM (3175) at 1230 EST for $1.10, which I think was a 3 delta.

Market kept going down after that, but now rebounded.


Reply
1 Reply
(@earlyretirementnowcom)
Joined: 10 years ago

Member
Posts: 349

@navypack

My strikes are 3180 and 3190 for the early trades on Friday. But then moved down to 3110, 3135, and 3160 for the subsequent trades after the market dropped during the day.

Looks safe to me! 🙂


Reply
Posts: 194
(@navypack)
Reputable Member
Joined: 6 years ago

Getting spicy today with SPX down 90 to 3230.  Glad the weekend only has 1 trading day.

VIX is up, so today's trade (Wednesday expire) hopefully is way OOM.


Reply
Share: