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Last seen: Sep 23, 2026
The TINA equation is probably going to change. Agree. I think it's possible that the 10-y yield will eventually go above 4% again, and once inflation ...
@figuy1 Noted. For the 5/4 options, I played it safe with 3930-3960 strikes. 200+ points OTM should be enough even on the FOMC day.
@navypack Same here. The premium landscape has been very generous lately. I hope I can make up for the loss on 4/22 a little faster than usual. On ...
@setspreads Yes. I am already doing the Mon/Tue/Wed/Fri expirations and then soon all 5 weekly expirations.
@mpaziran Same here. Strikes between 4290 and 4335. That was a bad day, but with the new expirations (Tuesdays already online, Thursday options coming...
I bonds might be a good investment going forward if you believe that inflation comes in higher than expected. I think that inflation will continue to ...
FOMC meeting this Wednesday. Probably a lot of vol until then. I sold the 3875 strikes while the S&P is around 4180.
Sold half of the puts this morning at 3750 and 3850. A few more trades to go, but the strikes will likely be closer to 3950-4000. Still seems pretty s...
@janey12 I don't think there is a PM feature in this forum.
@andyg42 Thanks for providing the files. I have trouble putting together how any of this was calculated. Probably by hand through the "case Study...
Wow, that's awesome! Do you have some detailed simulations for the 9/1929 and 11/1965 cohorts and how they would have fared?
Crazy! War in Europe and the market is up?! I have two sets of strikes for Friday: 4070 and 4075 (sold early on Wednesday) and 3990 and 4000 (sold lat...
@mpaziran I had a close call, too. 4395 strike. Plus a 4400 I sold the same day. Whew! Wednesday 2/16 strikes at 3925-4000. Should be safe!
@chris-b I don't really get what exactly you're doing. In my sheet, the asset allocation is "defensive" for the entire history. I strongly advise ag...
@setspreads This is great news. I will be trading the options every day then, with the expiration on the next day. It goes back to the benefit of the ...