Update (12/31/2022):
It seems that new users have trouble registering for the forum. The confirmation email never shows up. I’ve decided to phase out this forum and transition over to a new forum plugin. The new location is here:
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Last seen: Sep 23, 2026
Well, nice volatile week. I sold 2DTE options all under 4000. And occasionally a same-day or 1DTE a little close to the spot. Thanks to the Fed for...
@chris-b Not sure what's wrong, but all of the calculations are messed up. I see only "#REF!" as outputs.
@twentysomething Agree. I wouldn't touch that country with a ten-foot pole. Accounting standards would be one reason. And I don't trust commies.
@nobatmanjokes Same here. The Preferreds are holding up all right but the Muni CEF got hammered. Geez!
@michigantuesday Can't say. He wasn't predicting SWRs. I find the translation of earnings yield into SWR or future returns far more intuitive.
Good article. Thanks for sharing. I always like her commentary. Very well researched and always original. All good points. My biggest concern: highe...
I prefer the CAEY as the independent variable. If you do a scatter plot between x=CAPE y=return you will see that this is not a linear relationship. M...
@e-trader I don't have enough details on what this signal is. As I wrote in Part 9 of the series, after Spintwig's simulations: my actual track rec...
@e-trader yes!
Unless and until the Evergrande issue is sorted out, I'd not give a single cent to that country.
@chris-b If the rules depend on the S&P500 stats, then you can just simulate that, package it into one series and feed that into the custom return...
@e-trader What's the link for that?
@nobatmanjokes Good choice! I try to cut my premium target by 20-25%. Merry Christmas!
@setspreads If you have clear and convincing reasons for the LLC (asset protection, estate planning, some potential tax advantages, etc.) you could go...