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Last seen: Sep 22, 2026
@muse_ee 5-10 Delta would have been an unpleasant experience due to all the whipsaw movements. I don't think I've sold 10-Delta for quite a while. Not...
@ohadost Nice! That will likely be super-safe. I eventually walked up my strikes to 3745. Crossing my fingers!
Looks like an attractive yield for corporate IG bonds. There is some risk if inflation were to get out of control, 1970s style. But in the base case w...
My deltas are around 1.5 to 2.0. About 3-4% OTM. Seems to be the sweet spot.
Just to be clear, I have shifted a lot of my bond exposure to floating-rate preferreds. I like the LIBOR+x% setup that a lot of them offer. I don't wa...
@chris-b That idea of "hedge your annual consumption increases" is nice in theory but difficult in practice. Because inflation shocks are normally p...
Good questions. Yes, If you're in the MSCI World you'd want to use the MSCI World CAPE. A 95/5 portfolio certainly seems a bit risky. But I can u...
Back to the original question. I like to think in terms of "beta", i.e., exposures to risk factors. For many investors, portfolios likely have a negat...
Preferred shares give the illusion of safe returns. But they are not. Inflation will take a bite out of them. Their $25 notional nominal value will be...
@muse_ee Wow, 4410 was really bad timing. Probably traded that one close to the top when the index hit 4512? In a way, I could consider myself lucky...
This week, we'll have 6 expirations: All 5 calendar days at the market close plus an additional 5/19 put that last trades on Thursday but settles at t...
I'll be using the 1DTE options. An easy approach would be to target a fixed daily income target. About $0.60-0.65 per trading day. $0.90-1.00 over the...
@navypack Yes, that's the idea. You could face a few whipsaw events if the index declines massively and then recovers. But also fewer events like Apri...
SPX strikes at 3680-3725 for 5/13! Sitting through the last Thursday without an SPX expiration. Let's hope the Friday close won't be a repeat of Apr...